Columbia Class of 2006 Blog

Well, me, I'm partial to a Howard Dean candidacy, since he'll be the easiest for the Republicans to beat bar Al Sharpton. :)

You are forgetting about Dennis Kucinich

Oh, yeah, you're right! :)

The New Republic has been running a debate between two of its columnists about whether Dean is electable. In truth, I don't think I could vote for Dean because I think A) he is a fool B) I do not like his absolute antipathy to using the military to intervene in Iraq. Since I am a yellow-dog Democrat, but would have difficulty voting for Dean, I think he has trouble (Kucinich, Sharpton, and Mosely-Braun are the other 3 I would never vote for, but I doubt that will be a concern).

Dear Dean Supporters,

Let me state at the outset that I admire your motivation and civic duty to work on behalf of a compassionate, honest candidate seeking a brighter future for us and generations to come.
The last three years of Bush have been extraordinarily tough for all of us. What have we received from his administration? Primarily just lies, a recession, record budget deficits, and degradation of the environment. We need to make sure that not only is he out of the White House by Jan., 2005 but that the number in Congress who support Bush's misguided policies decreases as much as possible.
And who is the best Democratic candidate to bring all this about? I daresay that this candidate is not Dr. Dean. PLEASE RECALL WHAT HAPPENED THE LAST TIME A NEW ENGLAND GOVERNOR COMPETED FOR THE PRESIDENCY WITH A FELLOW NAMED BUSH! (Let me digress a bit here and state that I still greatly admire Michael Dukakis and believe that he would have made an excellent president, but in retrospect, he was not the Democratic candidate most likely to win).
Dr. Dean is doing alright now, but ask yourself, will he still be as viable when the economy starts to improve, and voters fret less about the economy and think more about national security? While Dr. Dean's lack of military experience and tiny-New-England-state background may mean very little to you and me, we must concede that these aspects may be of significance to other voters. Finally, we are aware of how dirty the Bushies play when seeking the presidency, so shouldn't the Democrats be choosing a candidate whose record cannot easily be distorted by immoral Republicans?
I believe that if you really thought deeply about it, you would agree that Wesley Clark is the candidate most likely to uproot the Bush and have the greatest "coattail effect" to get Democrats into Congress. The last five times the Democrats won the Presidency they had chosen a candidate from the South and General Clark is from Arkansas. On the other hand, since the Great Depression, when the Democrats put forth as their presidential candidate a nonincumbent from a northern state, we’ve seen results like Stevenson ’52 loss, Stevenson ’56 loss, Kennedy ’60 barely a win, Humphrey ’68 loss, McGovern ’72 wiped out, Mondale ’84 wiped out, Dukakis ’88 loss. That’s one win and six losses!! Many in our country would be impressed by a candidate’s military achievement, and General Clark's success in Kosovo can be contrasted in the campaign with Bush's failure in Iraq. Moreover, the General lacks a political record to attack and has alienated only a very tiny, insignificant portion of Americans. Finally, remember that only very rarely in our nation's history has a general nominated for the presidency by a major party wound up losing.
Consider if you will the states that Al Gore just barely lost (or in the case of Florida, was stolen from him). While I readily concede that Dean has a better chance than Clark to beat Bush in New Hampshire, do you truly believe that Dean also has a better chance to win such places as Tennessee, Arkansas (where Clark is from), or Florida? Do you truly believe that Dean has a better chance than Clark to win in the Southwest, Arizona, Nevada, and (a state Gore barely won) New Mexico? How well will things go for Dean in the “Bible Belt” after Dean gets through telling Southern voters that they should accept civil unions, just like Vermont does? And if Dean should not win any states in the South, isn’t it apparent that he can AT BEST JUST BARELY WIN, WITH NO MARGIN FOR ERROR?
It isn’t surprising that in its Dec, 22, 2003 edition the right-wing journal, The National Review, features a photograph of Howard Dean above a caption exhorting Democrats to “Please Nominate this Man!” Should we liberals be giving the conservatives the Democratic presidential candidate they want most to face? Nor is it surprising that polls show General Clark doing quite well against Bush, while Dr. Dean remains less preferred. And things will only improve for General Clark once he builds up name recognition.
The time has come for us liberals to get behind the most electable candidate. Ask yourself, “Are the differences on policy issues between Dr. Dean and Wesley Clark really so important?” If not, then please, please, please think deeply and reconsider whether your hard efforts are being expended on the candidate most likely to both successfully beat Bush and get Democrats into Congress.

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